This isn't getting as much exposure as it should. WHO seems to be in cahoots with a lots of bad folks.
Just went by the local pharmacy for kicks and asked "when can I sign up for the jab." The pharmacist laughed but said some gibberish about 'levels' and you can sign up online- 'they won't accept showing up in person' - but that 'it didn't matter because it will be weeks since we actually get it.' She also 'wasn't' sure which vaccine they will get 'maybe in late January.' But it is a crisis.
I ran some numbers, based on data supposedly as of this week. Based on the current 1b criteria, with 53 million Americans over 65 or older and 110 million with comorbidities, which apparently includes supposedly over weight folks of ANY age. Assuming at least 35 million at 65 or over have comorbitidies and are included in that group, let’s say there are approximately 140 million total in 1b, alone, almost half of America. What, 20 million in 1a, maybe?
Assume 160 million, at least, in 1a and 1b. As of 1/11/21, 9 million have been vaccinated, with a mix of one dose and some, but many fewer, at 2 doses already. Being optimistic and assuming the vaccine supply increases some, assume that they could ramp up to 30 million a month, starting by the end of January.
1/11 9 million total
Mid Feb. 40 million total
Mid March 70 million total
Mid April 100 million total
Mid May 130 million total
Mid June 160 million total
So, based upon a crap load of probably optimistic assumptions, you’re looking at the start of Summer before even 1a and 1b are vaccinated. One thing that helps the rate, of course, is just how many decide NOT to get the vaccine.
Have at it for your back of the envelope assessment.
