Re: Roswell ..
It's difficult to think that military personnel at the only nuclear military base mistook balsa wood, tin foil and weather balloons for a crashed flying saucer. It's also difficult to believe that advanced craft from an alien civilization was knocked out of the sky by lightning or radar. The former seems much more likely than the latter.
Mogul balloons were more than just "balsa wood, tin foil, and weather ballons." Here is a description of Mogul and what such a crashed balloon would have looked like:Typical weather balloons employed a single, 350-gram neoprene balloon and a radiosonde for measuring temperature, atmospheric pressure, and humidity, housed in a cardboard box. If it was to be tracked by radar for wind-speed measurement, a single corner reflector was added (Atch . The balloon that was found on the Foster Ranch consisted of as many as 23 350-gram balloons spaced at 20 foot intervals, several radar targets (3 to 5), plastic ballast tubes, parchment parachutes, a black "cutoff" box containing portions of a weather instrument, and a sonabuoy (Atch 3). After striking the ground, the radar reflectors, constructed of very light materials for minimum weight, would tear and break apart, spreading out over a large area when pulled across the ground by balloons that still possessed some buoyancy.
As Mogul was a highly classified program, it is doubtful anyone at RAAF would have had a "need to know" about the program and would have been unfamilar with the appearance of the system. I know b_dubb understands this, but being in the military and having a security clearance does not mean you have access to any and all classified programs. Having that clearance means only you can be read in to a classified program if need be, not that you can just drop in and have a look around.
A problem I've always had with Roswell is "story creep." It started out with a rancher finding a crash site and the recovery of debris by the military. The rest of the story (bodies, captured ET, a mystery nurse, alien autopsies, little coffins, etc.) came many years after the fact, and then seemed to lay the ground work for a tourist bonanza and careers for guys like Randle, Schmitt, Friedman etc. This formed the perfect symbiotic relationship between town and researchers/writers, one needing an evolving story to keep up interest once the "new, improved" Roswell Incident came to the public's attention some 30 years after the fact.
Story creep is now also starting to negatively affect the Rendlesham Forest case, what with the one enlisted man now claiming he received a download of binary code when he touched the UFO. Naturally, he waited 30 years after the fact as well to tell his story. Never to late to get in on the gravy train of videos, conferences, TV appearances etc. In my mind, this is very sad as Rendlesham was one of the best UFO sightings in history.