Author President Donald J. Trump  (Read 1420843 times)

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Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58320 on: October 07, 2017, 01:17:13 AM »
Fucking Millenials and Baby Boomers.  Communists mainly, I enjoy the squeals as they plummet to the depths reserved for the ilk.

I see the kids in the black pyjamas are active tonight, pate.  :D

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58321 on: October 07, 2017, 06:23:58 AM »

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58322 on: October 07, 2017, 06:31:32 AM »
This had better be like the RED WEDDING but in Congress.


Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58323 on: October 07, 2017, 09:32:34 AM »
RCP average is 39%
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html

However, that averages includes polls that were taken during the Trump Administration's handling of the hurricanes that affected parts of Texas and Florida as well as during his bi-partisan deal.  The later polls have him at about 36% approval including the Rasmussen outlier.

Does Russia have independent pollsters, Comrade?

This is the mook who assurred us during the campaign that the USC/L.A. Times poll that had Trump ahead, despite it taking a much larger and more representative sampling of actual likely voters and it being taken on a weekly rather than monthly basis, was all wrong. This and the many other instances wherein his analysis and prognostications have proven dead wrong do not inspire confidence in his assessment.

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58324 on: October 07, 2017, 10:00:40 AM »
This is the mook who assurred us during the campaign that the USC/L.A. Times poll that had Trump ahead, despite it taking a much larger and more representative sampling of actual likely voters and it being taken on a weekly rather than monthly basis, was all wrong. This and the many other instances wherein his analysis and prognostications have proven dead wrong do not inspire confidence in his assessment.

No election polls are taken on a monthly basis.  I don't remember that poll, but, while I completely concur that one of the reasons most election polls were off is that they had were mistaken in correctly assessing the 'likely voters' in that there were several million people who voted for Trump who had only rarely voted previously, and most polling firms tend be very suspicious of voters who say they intend to vote when they only rarely actually vote.

Two things however,
1.The degree to which the polls were incorrect has been dramatically and likely deliberately overstated by Trump supporters and those in general who bash pollsters.  There were two different aggregations of final election polls, one that gave Hillary Clinton a 3.8% lead, and another that gave her a 3.5% lead.  Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 2.2%.  So, the aggregate final polls were far from wildly off the mark.  It is true that a number of state polls of the Presidential election were well off (especially Ohio) which led most pundits to be overly confident in predicting a Hillary Clinton win.

2.It may be correct that the Los Angeles Times pollsters accurately picked up on the likelihood of these Trump voters who have previously rarely voted or it may be that they just got lucky.  To ascribe their forecasting skills to some kind of brilliant deduction when you don't know if it wasn't just luck is a logical fallacy known as the 'historian's fallacy.'  (Judging a prediction or looking back at an event based on the way it ultimately turned out, rather than judging the prediction or the event on the information that was known at the time.  Personally I'd prefer the term 'psychic's fallacy'.)

If you want to accuse me of not fully admitting I was wrong or something over this, that may be fair, but I remind you that in the case of the historian's fallacy, there are all sorts of Wall Street investment scammers and guests who appear on Coast to Coast who get lucky in predicting an event correctly that most people predicted would go the other way, who then claim to be geniuses when they aren't and make a lot of money over it.

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58325 on: October 07, 2017, 10:16:03 AM »


#Dotard is just trying to make certain that you "tune in next week." 

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58326 on: October 07, 2017, 10:31:25 AM »
Oh, so she means dying in the sense that we're all dying, really...eventually.  ;) ;)



What a horrible shill!  ::)
The demokkkrat media has so desperately tried to create another Katrina, and they've succeeded. 2 unqualified mayors in over their heads, who weren't doing their jobs, and before the rain even stopped, were turning the natural disaster political, to gain favor with their demokkkrat masters in hopes of furthering their political aspirations. Unfortunately the left fails again with Trump in charge.

Puerto Rico along with the fake Russian collusion is the media's Obamacare. One big lie after another that's going to result in another huge fail for the left and add to the 1250 seats the demokkkrats have lost since 2010. Hope the lemmings have their tissues.

And while we debate the fake Trump approval polls, remember the media's trust/approval rating is consistently lower the Trump's. By double digits. For there to be any accuracy of the polls, once must 1st add 5-10% to the Republican side, and subtract 5-10% from the demokkkrat side. Then you have an accurate assessment.

Glad bellgab is back so we can enjoy our few last gasps during "the calm before the storm".





Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58327 on: October 07, 2017, 11:11:47 AM »
No election polls are taken on a monthly basis.  I don't remember that poll, but, while I completely concur that one of the reasons most election polls were off is that they had were mistaken in correctly assessing the 'likely voters' in that there were several million people who voted for Trump who had only rarely voted previously, and most polling firms tend be very suspicious of voters who say they intend to vote when they only rarely actually vote.

Two things however,
1.The degree to which the polls were incorrect has been dramatically and likely deliberately overstated by Trump supporters and those in general who bash pollsters.  There were two different aggregations of final election polls, one that gave Hillary Clinton a 3.8% lead, and another that gave her a 3.5% lead.  Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 2.2%.  So, the aggregate final polls were far from wildly off the mark.  It is true that a number of state polls of the Presidential election were well off (especially Ohio) which led most pundits to be overly confident in predicting a Hillary Clinton win.

2.It may be correct that the Los Angeles Times pollsters accurately picked up on the likelihood of these Trump voters who have previously rarely voted or it may be that they just got lucky.  To ascribe their forecasting skills to some kind of brilliant deduction when you don't know if it wasn't just luck is a logical fallacy known as the 'historian's fallacy.'  (Judging a prediction or looking back at an event based on the way it ultimately turned out, rather than judging the prediction or the event on the information that was known at the time.  Personally I'd prefer the term 'psychic's fallacy'.)


Sure you remember that poll.  I could have sworn that you and I had a discussion on that particular poll in the run-up to the election.

 So what you are saying is that the LA Times/USC benefitted from serendipity whereas all the other pollsters did not.  Another shameless rationalization in the best traditions of the Clintons and Obama.

As far as Hilliary legitimately winning the popular vote is concerned, the below videos pertain.  Are we supposed to believe you and the historically corrupt Democrats and their MSM cheerleaders or the word of Judicial Watch and scores of first hand witnesses to voter fraud.   Let me think about that.........FUCK NO!















Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58328 on: October 07, 2017, 11:30:11 AM »

Sure you remember that poll.  I could have sworn that you and I had a discussion on that particular poll in the run-up to the election.

 So what you are saying is that the LA Times/USC benefitted from serendipity whereas all the other pollsters did not.  Another shameless rationalization in the best traditions of the Clintons and Obama.

As far as Hilliary legitimately winning the popular vote is concerned, the below videos pertain.  Are we supposed to believe you and the historically corrupt Democrats and their MSM cheerleaders or the word of Judicial Watch and scores of first hand witnesses to voter fraud.   Let me think about that.........FUCK NO!


We might have had a discussion, remembering names is not something I'm good at.  I didn't say the L.A Times/USC got lucky, I said 'they might have simply got lucky' and that they had no idea their vote model would be more accurate.

As to the rest, yes, Trumptards are certainly believers in idiotic conspiracy theories.

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58329 on: October 07, 2017, 11:33:22 AM »
Further to my point, I think the average Dem knows that their party practices massive voter fraud. They just donít give a shit.

 


Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58330 on: October 07, 2017, 11:38:05 AM »
Further to my point, I think the average Dem knows that their party practices massive voter fraud. They just donít give a shit.

More accurately, I think the average Rep knows that their party practices massive voter suppression using the false claim of massive voter fraud as justification and either doesn't give a shit, or more likely because nearly all modern Republicans are completely unethical, cheers their party on over it.

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58331 on: October 07, 2017, 12:10:54 PM »
More accurately, I think the average Rep knows that their party practices massive voter suppression using the false claim of massive voter fraud as justification and either doesn't give a shit, or more likely because nearly all modern Republicans are completely unethical, cheers their party on over it.



Yeah, requiring voters to hold valid identification is an outrage.  If youíre referring to gerrymandering, both parties have historically practiced that maneuver and itís legal.  Lyndon Johnson and Skip Oíneal where masters at it.  The Dems only complain when itís the Republicans who do it. 
 

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58332 on: October 07, 2017, 12:16:00 PM »


Yeah, requiring voters to hold valid identification is an outrage.  If youíre referring to gerrymandering, both parties have historically practiced that maneuver and itís legal.  Lyndon Johnson and Skip Oíneal where masters at it.  The Dems only complain when itís the Republicans who do it.
Oh, come on.  We know the Dems are angels, pure as the driven snow.  Who wouldn't be beating down the door to buy a car from Chuckie.


Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58333 on: October 07, 2017, 12:21:21 PM »

Sure you remember that poll.  I could have sworn that you and I had a discussion on that particular poll in the run-up to the election.

 So what you are saying is that the LA Times/USC benefitted from serendipity whereas all the other pollsters did not.  Another shameless rationalization in the best traditions of the Clintons and Obama.

As far as Hilliary legitimately winning the popular vote is concerned, the below videos pertain.  Are we supposed to believe you and the historically corrupt Democrats and their MSM cheerleaders or the word of Judicial Watch and scores of first hand witnesses to voter fraud.   Let me think about that.........FUCK NO!









How dare you present evidence of voter fraud. You should be ashamed. How could there possibly be any fraud with no borders and no voter ID.

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58334 on: October 07, 2017, 12:27:14 PM »
Here is an astute, clear-headed assessment of Obamaís Presidencyónot that the lefties on this thread will be interested in knowing why they are in deep shit and itís getting deeper.



Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58335 on: October 07, 2017, 12:47:34 PM »
More accurately, I think the average Rep knows that their party practices massive voter suppression using the false claim of massive voter fraud as justification and either doesn't give a shit, or more likely because nearly all modern Republicans are completely unethical, cheers their party on over it.

Do you have to show ID when you vote?  Is it voter suppression to require a valid ID (let alone proof of citizenship, which only two states are allowed to do) when both Canada and Mexico require ID?

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58336 on: October 07, 2017, 01:17:59 PM »
Do you have to show ID when you vote?  Is it voter suppression to require a valid ID (let alone proof of citizenship, which only two states are allowed to do) when both Canada and Mexico require ID?
You're being unreasonable, GS.  Damn, they already require an ID to board an airplane, buy liquor, open a bank account, apply for food stamps, apply for welfare, apply for medicaid, apply for a job, apply for a mortgage, rent a car, get married, purchase a gun, apply for a fishing license, pick up a prescription... come on, it's not like voting is anywhere as important as being able to haul in some bass.


Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58337 on: October 07, 2017, 01:37:50 PM »
Here is an astute, clear-headed assessment of Obamaís Presidencyónot that the lefties on this thread will be interested in knowing why they are in deep shit and itís getting deeper.



There is a lot he missed too... the gun grabbing, while dealing guns to the cartels, "fast and furious" etc.  Obama was a disaster for the USA. Hopefully will end up being a disaster for the democrats for decades to come.  The last 8 years under Obama and the Dems hopefully left a bad taste in the majority's mouth, and hopefully they remember for a helluva long time.

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58338 on: October 07, 2017, 01:56:59 PM »
... And while we debate the fake Trump approval polls, remember the media's trust/approval rating is consistently lower the Trump's. By double digits...

No, no, no, wrong, fail.

Not 12 hours ago I posted an article with news about several new polls on the media approval rating in our country, and - shock the world! - wouldn't you know it, their own polls now show their approval to be much higher than Trump's, and rising. 

Admittedly in the past they ignored and downplayed the polls showing their approval rating to be slightly behind dog shit left in your driveway, but they are very pleased to announce a newly coordinated effort to produce these fake poll results.  In case anyone is skeptical, the reason for their newfound popularity is of course their constant attacks on Trump.  You see, everyone knows Trump stole the election, and it's all because of media diligence in staying on the story.

http://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/05/trump-media-battle-press-polls-243516 

These fake polls are the media version of Hilary's book ''What Happened''.  Of course they put out fake news, fake polls, and fake statistics, and operate as Democratic Party PR shills, but it's all in our best interest.  They're doing that for us.  That we're all too dumb to understand that is the fault of others, so they've decided to help things along by telling us we really do approve of their efforts after all.


Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58339 on: October 07, 2017, 04:36:31 PM »
Why California is failing (long and short versions). But then, you leftist Californians knew all this already, right?







Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58340 on: October 07, 2017, 05:42:02 PM »
Using a black guy was their last ace-in-the-hole, but through 8 years of hard fought suffering, we've now denied them that social angle. Never again can a guy get away with what he got away with just because he's black in the public mind. They're a spent force.

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58341 on: October 07, 2017, 05:51:49 PM »
No election polls are taken on a monthly basis.  I don't remember that poll, but, while I completely concur that one of the reasons most election polls were off is that they had were mistaken in correctly assessing the 'likely voters' in that there were several million people who voted for Trump who had only rarely voted previously, and most polling firms tend be very suspicious of voters who say they intend to vote when they only rarely actually vote.

Two things however,
1.The degree to which the polls were incorrect has been dramatically and likely deliberately overstated by Trump supporters and those in general who bash pollsters.  There were two different aggregations of final election polls, one that gave Hillary Clinton a 3.8% lead, and another that gave her a 3.5% lead.  Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 2.2%.  So, the aggregate final polls were far from wildly off the mark.  It is true that a number of state polls of the Presidential election were well off (especially Ohio) which led most pundits to be overly confident in predicting a Hillary Clinton win.

2.It may be correct that the Los Angeles Times pollsters accurately picked up on the likelihood of these Trump voters who have previously rarely voted or it may be that they just got lucky.  To ascribe their forecasting skills to some kind of brilliant deduction when you don't know if it wasn't just luck is a logical fallacy known as the 'historian's fallacy.'  (Judging a prediction or looking back at an event based on the way it ultimately turned out, rather than judging the prediction or the event on the information that was known at the time.  Personally I'd prefer the term 'psychic's fallacy'.)

If you want to accuse me of not fully admitting I was wrong or something over this, that may be fair, but I remind you that in the case of the historian's fallacy, there are all sorts of Wall Street investment scammers and guests who appear on Coast to Coast who get lucky in predicting an event correctly that most people predicted would go the other way, who then claim to be geniuses when they aren't and make a lot of money over it.

TL;DR

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58342 on: October 07, 2017, 05:53:56 PM »
More accurately, I think the average Rep knows that their party practices massive voter suppression using the false claim of massive voter fraud as justification and either doesn't give a shit, or more likely because nearly all modern Republicans are completely unethical, cheers their party on over it.

Oh, are they? Just cuz you say?  ::) ;D

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58343 on: October 07, 2017, 05:57:04 PM »
Oh, come on.  We know the Dems are angels, pure as the driven snow.  Who wouldn't be beating down the door to buy a car from Chuckie.



Yeah, remember when he called Trump mean and then managed to squeeze out that fake tear. How can you compare that kind of sacrifice to what Trump's doing by rescuing our economy, creating prosperity and instilling confidence in the country.  ::)

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58344 on: October 07, 2017, 06:49:49 PM »
Yeah, remember when he called Trump mean and then managed to squeeze out that fake tear. How can you compare that kind of sacrifice to what Trump's doing by rescuing our economy, creating prosperity and instilling confidence in the country.  ::)


Yeah, Obama gets all weepy too.  Low testosterone will do that to you.

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58345 on: October 07, 2017, 08:53:39 PM »
Auf Deutsch



quintuplets!

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58346 on: October 07, 2017, 10:36:38 PM »




Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58347 on: October 07, 2017, 10:41:25 PM »
#Dotard is just trying to make certain that you "tune in next week."

''Dotard'' is a term no one heard of until North Korea's Kim Jong-un used it in response to Trump referring to him as ''Rocket Man'' last week. 

Now the people who have been losing all those elections over the past 8 years, and are now pretending they want to woo back the middle class, are smugly using terminology they learned from North Korea's Kim to disparage our president.  You can't make this stuff up.  Savage is right, Liberalism is a mental disorder.

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58348 on: October 08, 2017, 03:11:53 AM »


Yeah, requiring voters to hold valid identification is an outrage.  If youíre referring to gerrymandering, both parties have historically practiced that maneuver and itís legal.  Lyndon Johnson and Skip Oíneal where masters at it.  The Dems only complain when itís the Republicans who do it.

Like I wrote, you're a sleazy and unethical person cheerleading your sleazy and unethical party.

Make the whole identification process completely free for the voter then.  In fact, go to voter enumeration and there would be no problem.

Re: President Donald J. Trump
« Reply #58349 on: October 08, 2017, 03:15:43 AM »
Do you have to show ID when you vote?  Is it voter suppression to require a valid ID (let alone proof of citizenship, which only two states are allowed to do) when both Canada and Mexico require ID?

Canada does not require ID, at least it isn't enforced.  If a voter shows the vote card they received in the mail, they can vote.  People are required to bring their ID with them in case they are challenged by a poll worker or a scrutineer.

It may be the case that first time or irregular voters need to show ID.