In the grand scheme of things no medium to large intensity conflict between North Korea and South Korea + its allies is happening anytime soon(several decades) and most likely is never happening. A medium to large intensity conflict could possibly put China/South Korea, thus by extension all of south east Asia and possibly the rest of the world into an economic depression. For these reasons the entire world won’t permit it. What would be considered low intensity conflict in extreme circumstances could be permissible.
The Kim dynasty and North Korea as it’s currently known will most likely end from military coup or ironically from a peasant revolution.
A post Kim regime NorthKorea is most likely required before a reunification with the South is plausible. The post unification Korean state will probably take at least if not longer then Germany did post Cold War to become stable and thus a player in the region and global economy.
A strong unified Korean Peninsula would only be the first step for the Korean people in their nation building, they inevitability would want to incoorporate the ethnically/historically Korean parts of what are now China. They may even be willing to goto war with China at that part in time for said disputed areas.
For all the above, it’s in China’s Best interest to maintain the current North/South Korea status quo for as long as possible.
The Korean Peninsula is a Cold War everyone knows how will end. The only issue is that all the players involved want to put off the inevitable ending as long as possible.
The Kim dynasty and North Korea as it’s currently known will most likely end from military coup or ironically from a peasant revolution.
A post Kim regime NorthKorea is most likely required before a reunification with the South is plausible. The post unification Korean state will probably take at least if not longer then Germany did post Cold War to become stable and thus a player in the region and global economy.
A strong unified Korean Peninsula would only be the first step for the Korean people in their nation building, they inevitability would want to incoorporate the ethnically/historically Korean parts of what are now China. They may even be willing to goto war with China at that part in time for said disputed areas.
For all the above, it’s in China’s Best interest to maintain the current North/South Korea status quo for as long as possible.
The Korean Peninsula is a Cold War everyone knows how will end. The only issue is that all the players involved want to put off the inevitable ending as long as possible.