Quote from: FightTheFuture on October 30, 2016, 11:59:19 AM
Yeah, but WHO KILLED MLK JR???
How do you spell COINTELPRO?
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Show posts MenuQuote from: FightTheFuture on October 30, 2016, 11:59:19 AM
Yeah, but WHO KILLED MLK JR???
Quote from: Zetaspeak on October 30, 2016, 12:07:39 PM
The Republicans have brought it onto themselves with the Hispanic voting problem. GWB split the Hispanic vote 40/58 vs Kerry in 2004. It's the last two elections that McCain got 31% and Romney 27%.
The betting markets certainly reacted to this weekends news but it seems to have stabilized today with little money even going back to Clinton after a run ton Trump on Friday and Saturday.
-paddy power Clinton 2/7 (75%) Trump 9/2 (25%) [Trump gain 8%]
-William Hill Clinton -300 (72%) Trump +225 (28%) [Trump gain 11%]
-Sportsbet Clinton 1.30 (74%) Trump 3.50 (26%) [Trump gain 8%]
-Bodog Clinton -350 (73%) Trump +220 (27%) [Trump gain 8%]
-Sportsbook Clinton 1.28 (76%) Trump 3.80 (24%) [Trump gain 7%]
The average now is Clinton 74% - 26% Trump a 8% difference in Trump direction from last week. Even though a big improvement from last week for Trump it still doesn't match his high on mid-September where Trump had 38% of the betting market. RCP betting odds gives Clinton a 81%/19% chance (3% improvement for Trump). 538 has it 78%/22% for Clinton in Now Cast and polls only (9% improvement for Trump).... As for the NFL odds. Trumps odds of winning is still lower than the most lopsided game on the NFL schedule which is favorite New England at underdog Buffalo. Last week Clinton/Bengals defeated Trump/Browns giving Hillary a 5-3 record for the season
Senate
I can't find too many betting odds for the senate, I only found two
-PaddyPower: Dems 3/10 (77%) Repubs 21/10 (33%)
-Sportsbet: Dems 1.30 (77%) Repubs 3.10 (33%)
I would personally like more than just two to get a more wide range reading.
Non tossup electoral map
Trump reclaimed Arizona (barely 5-3 on prediction sites) and Ohio (5 red, 1 blue, 2 ties) Florida has become more debatable this week as well with it going from unanimous blue to 6-2 blue this week.
538 Dem 323 Repub 215
electiongraph Dem 300 Repub 238
270/Sabato Dem 358 Repub 180 [Iowa-6 & Utah-6 split]
electionproje Dem 333 Repub 205
270/Rothbrg Dem 334 Repub 204 [Ohio-18 & Iowa-6 split]
RCP Dem 304 Repub 234
E-vote Dem 335 Repub 203 [Ohio-18 & Iowa-6 split]
270/Prinston Dem 326 Repub 212 [Iowa-6 split]
MY AVERAGE Dem 323 Repub 215 [This week pickup; REPUB: Arizona & Ohio]
Quote from: theONE on October 30, 2016, 12:01:35 PM
Will be very interesting to watch how the media will cover this story,
Quote from: SredniVashtar on October 30, 2016, 09:20:05 AM
Hmm, methinks you be suffering from an irony deficiency. You ought to prescribe yourself some pills before it turns fatal, chop chop!
Quote from: Donald Noory on October 30, 2016, 10:27:44 AM
Jackstar attends Trump rally. Shameful.
Quote from: SredniVashtar on October 30, 2016, 08:46:08 AM
The MD stands for 'Massive Dickhead'.
Quote from: 136 or 142 on October 29, 2016, 02:19:30 PM
15th Century Man, I'd like you to find me one case where I wrote something defending Hillary Clinton that was not correct.
Quote from: GravitySucks on October 30, 2016, 11:44:58 AM
Nah. You can't make all these ducks line up
And you can't make shit like this up - seriously
Quote from: 136 or 142 on October 29, 2016, 02:47:10 PM
I think I'm nice, I just like being honest which can include being blunt. I don't believe in sugar coating things.
No, you don't get under my skin except with this one thing where you attack my integrity.
Quote from: Juan on October 30, 2016, 11:42:24 AM
"They" is not an acceptable answer.
Quote from: 136 or 142 on October 29, 2016, 04:18:58 PM
1.After reaching a certain number, around 1,000, the size of the sample doesn't matter very much. People who believe that a larger sample must be more accurate simply show they don't understand statistics theory. Of course, a poll of 50,000 people or so will have a significantly smaller margin of error, but in most cases, that isn't very important.
Quote from: 136 or 142 on October 29, 2016, 04:24:06 PM
Hillary Clinton's campaign claims to have more than 1 million volunteers and she received more votes during the Primary process than Donald Trump did.
Quote from: Kidnostad3 on October 29, 2016, 04:36:22 PM
Obama is nothing more than a 60's radical by proxy by virtue of his being brought up by a hippie radical mom and self identified Marxist grandparents. One of his neighbors in Chicago was Bill Ayers who was a kind of godfather to him and ghost wrote his books.
Quote from: Value Of Pi on October 29, 2016, 10:17:18 PM
you should understand that Americans resent this kind of propaganda posting by foreigners, whatever their political leanings as Americans.
If you have something to contribute, that's one thing. Propaganda efforts from outside the U.S., however, will not have the desired effect and are not welcome.
Quote from: Kidnostad3 on October 29, 2016, 12:46:38 PM
Oh shit, Jackstar is three drinks into happy hour already. Stand by for a bullshit barrage.
Quote from: Al Capones Vault on October 29, 2016, 11:09:53 PM
If any other candidate did this it would be a major scandal and cause national outrage.
Quote from: Value Of Pi on October 29, 2016, 10:40:03 PM
I don't argue with foreign propaganda posters; I just call them out.
Quote from: Kidnostad3 on October 29, 2016, 01:50:15 PM
Jackstar has never heard a conspiracy theory that he didn't buy into. Just sayin'
Quote from: SciFiAuthor on October 29, 2016, 12:20:38 AM
This is the first time in this whole debacle that I've thought that Drumpf might win. And I stress might.
Quote from: albrecht on October 04, 2016, 07:11:09 PM
I don't trust any file on the internet, torrent, or email
Quote from: Kidnostad3 on October 28, 2016, 07:38:30 PM
jerked back into cold reality.
Quote from: Value Of Pi on October 28, 2016, 06:49:09 PM
There's not much logic or consistency, just a total hodgepodge.
Quote from: theONE on October 28, 2016, 06:46:17 PM
he sent it - she saw it